It was a mega black swan event yesterday. S&P halted trading for the first time since 1997 and DOW dropped 2000 points. STI closed 6% down. Probably the largest single day drop experienced by anybody who's vested in the markets.
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| Stark contrast to my blog title - it's massacre for US stocks |
My US portfolio which was beaten down earlier by big names such as Disney, WBA, IBM and FB (already long position stopped out) still cling on to 2 long positions - 3M and FB as of yesterday. Yet when I finally logged in to my SAXO account (after multiple failed attempts probably due to servers overload), I was greeted by a slight tinge of green. *Surprise*
Thanks to my one and only hedge, the 20-Year Treasury Bond (TLT). If only I didn't close out all my marginally losing short positions prior to going on overseas trip, I would have gotten a pasture and not some grass. That's black swan for me.
Thanks to my one and only hedge, the 20-Year Treasury Bond (TLT). If only I didn't close out all my marginally losing short positions prior to going on overseas trip, I would have gotten a pasture and not some grass. That's black swan for me.
I closed out all my positions at a slight net profit yesterday when the Treasury yield hit a low point like free fall.
What happens when a pendulum swung too far? It will surely swing back the opposite way.
And so I spotted a sparkling opportunity.
I decided to do something gungho. I scrolled through my watchlist, picked one of the most "elastic" stock that plummeted (it dropped from a high of 207 on 6th March to 195 on 9th Mar, make a guess which one?) and whacked a long position on CFD. This time I got put on seat belt (cos market now on roller coaster mode) - put in my stop loss point and also a take-profit point based on calculations. Then I went to sleep.
Tonight when I logged in to my account, my take-profit point got triggered. Gain point 5.3%.
Enough to cover for all my previous stupid losses.
:)
When we see a black swan, usually the white one is just round the corner (the white one is called Opportunity).
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